Tropical Cyclone Statement Issued
From
City of Lake Helen
Sent
Tue, Oct 8 @ 11:35am
Description
Tropical Cyclone Statement issued October 8 at 11:25AM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
HLSMLB
This product covers East Central Florida
**DO NOT FOCUS ON THE CENTER LINE OF THE FORECAST, IMPACTS FROM
HURRICANE MILTON WILL BE FELT ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA**
**PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION BY WEDNESDAY MORNING**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning for Northern Brevard Barrier Islands
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Coastal Volusia and Northern Brevard Barrier Islands
- A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Coastal Indian River, Inland
Indian River, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Southern Brevard,
Inland Volusia, Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern
Brevard, Northern Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, and Southern
Lake
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Okeechobee
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Martin,
Coastal Saint Lucie, Inland Martin, and Inland Saint Lucie
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 590 miles southwest of Orlando FL
- 22.7N 88.4W
- Storm Intensity 150 mph
- Movement East-northeast or 65 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Major Hurricane Milton was located in the south central Gulf of
Mexico just north of the Yucatan Peninsula, moving east-northeast at
around 9 mph as of 11 AM. Milton is an extremely dangerous 4 hurricane
with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph and minimum central pressure
of 929 mb.
Milton will begin moving more northeast later in the day, crossing
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico today and Wednesday Wednesday.
Milton is now forecast to make landfall along the Florida west coast
late Wednesday night, crossing the eastern side of the peninsula
Thursday morning, then moving offshore into the Atlantic Thursday
afternoon. There will be multiple, significant hazards as Milton
moves over east central Florida.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for all east central Florida
counties except Okeechobee, St Lucie, and Martin Counties, who
remain under Tropical Storm Warnings. A Hurricane Watch continues
for Okeechobee County, as well. Final storm preparations should be
completed by early Wednesday morning.
Wind: Outer rainbands will arrive during the day on Wednesday. Winds
will strengthen to tropical storm force with gusts to hurricane
force along Milton's path Wednesday night into Thursday morning,
with a swath of sustained hurricane force winds possible near the
center of the storm. These winds will knock down trees and power
lines, leading to power outages. All east central Florida residents
and visitors should be in a safe shelter before conditions become
hazardous.
Heavy Rain: Ahead of Milton, deep moisture and onshore flow north of
a front across south Florida will continue potential for heavy
rainfall today, with the highest risk for flooding along the coast.
Rainfall directly associated with Hurricane Milton will increase in
coverage and intensity through the day Wednesday and into the night
as rain bands reach east central Florida. Significant rainfall and
flash flooding potential will develop into Thursday morning,
especially near and north of the Greater Orlando area.
Forecast rainfall amounts are generally 4 to 8 inches, with 10 to 15
inches forecast near and north of the I-4 corridor. South of that
line, the forecast calls for 3 to 6 inches of rain. These rainfall
amounts, along with instances of higher rainfall rates, will be
capable of producing significant, potentially devastating flooding.
Heavy rainfall will also cause rapid rises on area creeks and
streams. The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to rise quickly
by Wednesday night and Thursday, reaching Major Flood Stage and
flooding additional structures and roads. Additional points upstream
on the Saint Johns are also likely to experience rises.
Tornadoes: In addition to damaging wind gusts, a few to several
tornadoes embedded in rain bands are possible, mainly from Wednesday
afternoon into Thursday morning as rain bands from Milton impact
east central Florida. Residents and visitors should have multiple
ways of receiving severe weather alerts.
Beach and Coastal Hazards: Along the coast, there is the potential
for beach and dune erosion from coastal storm surge. This threat
exists especially near and north of where Milton tracks. After
Milton moves offshore Thursday, strong northerly winds are expected,
elevating water levels along the Atlantic coast. Storm surge is
forecast to reach 3 to 5 feet above normally dry ground in areas
along the immediate Volusia County and northern Brevard coastlines,
with dune erosion likely. A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect for
the Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, and remains in effect for
Coastal Volusia County. 2 to 4 feet of storm surge is forecast along
the southern Brevard County coast as well, where a Storm Surge Watch
remains in effect. Higher water levels will continue into Friday
along the Atlantic beaches.
Today is the last full day to ensure your hurricane supply kit is
stocked and your safety plan is ready to be activated. Heed the
advice of local officials with recommended evacuation and or
sheltering actions for those in flood prone locations, mobile homes,
or on the barrier islands.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts
across southwest Lake County. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Widespread power and communications outages.
Also, prepare for life-threatening wind having possible significant
to extensive impacts across across areas from Brevard and Osceola
County northward.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across areas along and north of the Interstate Four
corridor. Potential impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain
areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing
susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
or washed out.
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
significant to extensive impacts across the northern portions of east
central Florida.
* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across coastal Volusia and Brevard counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides.
Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for
instructions from local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
This notification was posted by City of Lake Helen. City of Lake Helen is solely responsible for this notification and unless specifically indicated, no other community or individual utilizing Savvy Citizen is sponsoring, responsible for, or endorsing this notification.
