Tropical Cyclone Statement Issued
From
City of Lake Helen
Sent
Tue, Oct 8 @ 5:35am
Description
Tropical Cyclone Statement issued October 8 at 5:24AM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
HLSMLB
This product covers East Central Florida
**MILTON WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH FLOODING RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS**
**FINAL HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THE END OF THE DAY TODAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Northern Lake, Orange,
Osceola, Seminole, and Southern Lake
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Okeechobee
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Coastal Volusia, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern
Brevard Barrier Islands
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River, Inland
Indian River, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Southern Brevard,
Inland Volusia, Mainland Northern Brevard, and Mainland
Southern Brevard
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Martin, Coastal
Saint Lucie, Inland Martin, and Inland Saint Lucie
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 640 miles southwest of Orlando FL
- 22.3N 88.9W
- Storm Intensity 155 mph
- Movement East-northeast or 75 degrees at 12 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Major Hurricane Milton was located in the south central Gulf of
Mexico at 5 AM, moving east northeast at 12 mph. Milton is a powerful
category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph
and minimum central pressure of 924 mb.
Milton will begin moving more northeastward today and across the
southeast Gulf of Mexico tonight into Wednesday. Milton is now forecast
to make landfall along the Florida west coast near midnight Wednesday
night and then cross east central Florida Thursday morning before moving
offshore into the Atlantic by Thursday afternoon. There will be multiple,
significant hazards as Milton moves over east central Florida.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Greater Orlando and the
surrounding areas, as does the Hurricane Watch along the coast from
Indian River County northward, as well as Okeechobee County. A
Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Okeechobee County, with a
Tropical Storm Watch for Saint Lucie and Martin Counties. Final storm
preparations should be completed by the end of the day today.
Wind: Outer rainbands will arrive during the day on Wednesday. Winds will
strengthen to tropical storm force with gusts to hurricane force along
Milton's path Wednesday night into Thursday morning, with a narrow
swath of sustained hurricane force winds possible near the center of
the storm. These winds will knock down trees and power lines, leading
to power outages. All east central Florida residents and visitors
should be in a safe shelter before conditions become hazardous.
Heavy Rain: Ahead of Milton, deep moisture and onshore flow north of a
front across south Florida will maintain a risk for heavy rainfall
today, with the highest risk for flooding along the coast. Rainfall
directly associated with Hurricane Milton will increase in coverage
and intensity late Wednesday and Wednesday night as rain bands reach
east central Florida. Heavy rainfall potential will linger into Thursday
morning with the greatest risk of flash flooding near and north of the
I-4 corridor late Wednesday night and Thursday morning.
Forecast rainfall amounts are generally 4 to 8 inches, locally 10 to
15 inches north of Kissimmee to Melbourne. South of that line, the
forecast calls 3 to 6 inches of rain. These rainfall amounts, along
with instances of higher rainfall rates, will be capable of producing
significant flooding. Heavy rainfall may also cause rapid rises on area
creeks and streams. The St Johns River at Astor is forecast to rise quickly
by Wednesday night and Thursday, flooding additional structures and roads.
Tornadoes: In addition to damaging wind gusts, a few to several tornadoes
embedded in rain bands are possible, mainly from Wednesday afternoon
into Thursday morning as Milton impacts east central Florida.
Residents and visitors should have multiple ways of receiving severe
weather alerts.
Beach and Coastal Hazards: Along the coast, there is the potential for
beach and dune erosion from coastal storm surge. This threat exists
especially near and north of where Milton tracks. After Milton moves
offshore Thursday, strong northerly winds are also expected, elevating
water levels along the Atlantic coast. Storm surge water rise may
reach 2 to 4 feet above normally dry ground in areas along the
immediate coastline north of Sebastian Inlet, including the Volusia
County beaches, with dune erosion likely. Higher water levels will
continue into Friday along the Atlantic beaches.
Today is the last full day to ensure your hurricane supply kit is
stocked and your safety plan is in place. Heed the advice of local
officials with recommended evacuation and or sheltering actions for
those in flood prone locations, mobile homes, or on the barrier
islands.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across southwest Lake County. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Widespread power and communications outages.
Also, protect against life-threatening wind having possible
significant to extensive impacts across areas from Brevard and Osceola
County northward.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across areas along and north of the Interstate Four
corridor. Potential impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain
areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing
susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
or washed out.
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
significant to extensive impacts across northern portions of east central
Florida.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Volusia and Brevard Counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides.
Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for
instructions from local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL by Noon EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
This notification was posted by City of Lake Helen. City of Lake Helen is solely responsible for this notification and unless specifically indicated, no other community or individual utilizing Savvy Citizen is sponsoring, responsible for, or endorsing this notification.
