Tropical Cyclone Statement Issued
From
City of Lake Helen
Sent
Mon, Oct 7 @ 11:45pm
Description
Tropical Cyclone Statement issued October 7 at 11:36PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
HLSMLB
This product covers East Central Florida
**MILTON REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE**
**FINAL HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE BY TUESDAY NIGHT**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Northern Lake, Orange,
Osceola, Seminole, and Southern Lake
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Okeechobee
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Coastal Volusia, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern
Brevard Barrier Islands
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River, Inland
Indian River, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Southern Brevard,
Inland Volusia, Mainland Northern Brevard, and Mainland
Southern Brevard
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Martin, Coastal
Saint Lucie, Inland Martin, and Inland Saint Lucie
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 710 miles southwest of Orlando FL
- 21.8N 89.9W
- Storm Intensity 165 mph
- Movement East or 90 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Major Hurricane Milton was located in the south central Gulf of
Mexico at 11 PM, moving east at 9 mph. Milton remains an extremely
powerful category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 165 mph
and minimum central pressure of 914 mb.
Milton will begin moving more northeastward north of the Yucatan
Peninsula tonight, then continue northeast Tuesday and Wednesday
across the southeast Gulf of Mexico toward Florida. Milton is now
forecast to make landfall along the Florida west coast late Wednesday
evening into early Thursday morning, crossing central Florida early
Thursday morning, then pushing offshore into the Atlantic by Thursday
afternoon. There will be multiple, significant hazards as Milton moves
over East Central Florida.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Greater Orlando and the
surrounding areas, as does the Hurricane Watch along the coast from
Indian River County northward, as well as Okeechobee County. A
Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Okeechobee County, with a
Tropical Storm Watch for Saint Lucie and Martin Counties. Final storm
preparations should be completed by the end of the day on Tuesday.
Wind: Outer rainbands will arrive Wednesday morning. Winds will
strengthen to tropical storm force with gusts to hurricane force along
Milton's path Wednesday night into Thursday morning, with a narrow
swath of sustained hurricane force winds possible near the center of
the storm. These winds will knock down trees and power lines, leading
to power outages. All east central Florida residents and visitors
should be in a safe shelter before conditions become hazardous.
Heavy Rain: Ahead of Milton, deep moisture and onshore flow north of a
front across south Florida will maintain a risk for heavy rainfall
Tuesday, with the highest risk for flooding along the coast. Rainfall
directly associated with Hurricane Milton will increase in coverage
and intensity Wednesday and Wednesday night as rain bands reach east
central Florida. The heaviest rainfall totals are likely to occur near
and north of Milton's track.
Forecast rainfall amounts this week are generally 4 to 8 inches,
locally 10 to 12 inches north of Kissimmee to Melbourne. South of that
line, the forecast calls 3 to 6 inches of rain. These rainfall
amounts, along with instances of higher rainfall rates, will be
capable of producing significant flooding. Heavy rainfall may also
cause rapid rises on area creeks and streams. The St Johns River at
Astor is forecast to rise quickly by Wednesday night, flooding
additional structures and roads.
Tornadoes: In addition to damaging wind gusts, a few tornadoes
embedded in rain bands are possible, mainly from Wednesday afternoon
into Thursday morning as Milton impacts east central Florida.
Residents and visitors should have multiple ways of receiving severe
weather alerts.
Beach and Coastal Hazards: Along the coast, there is the potential for
beach and dune erosion from coastal storm surge. This threat exists
especially near and north of where Milton tracks. After Milton moves
offshore Thursday, strong northerly winds are also expected, elevating
water levels along the Atlantic coast. Storm surge water rise may
reach 2 to 4 feet above normally dry ground in areas along the
immediate coastline north of Sebastian Inlet, including the Volusia
County beaches, with dune erosion likely.
Tuesday is the last full day to ensure your hurricane supply kit is
stocked and your safety plan is in place. Heed the advice of local
officials with recommended evacuation and or sheltering actions for
those in flood prone locations, mobile homes, or on the barrier
islands.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across north-central portions of East Central Florida.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible significant
impacts across southern portions of East Central Florida, including the
Treasure Coast.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across much of East Central Florida. Potential
impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, destructive runoff
may run quickly down valleys while increasing susceptibility to
rockslides and mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers
may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across far southern portions of East Central Florida.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts along the Volusia and Brevard County coast. Potential impacts
in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
This notification was posted by City of Lake Helen. City of Lake Helen is solely responsible for this notification and unless specifically indicated, no other community or individual utilizing Savvy Citizen is sponsoring, responsible for, or endorsing this notification.
