Tropical Cyclone Statement Issued

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Sent
Mon, Oct 7 @ 6am

Description
Tropical Cyclone Statement issued October 7 at 5:51AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

HLSTBW

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**MILTON STRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch have been issued for
Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando, Coastal
Hillsborough, Coastal Lee, Coastal Levy, Coastal Manatee,
Coastal Pasco, Coastal Sarasota, Inland Lee, and Pinellas
- A Hurricane Watch has been issued for DeSoto, Hardee,
Highlands, Inland Charlotte, Inland Citrus, Inland Hernando,
Inland Hillsborough, Inland Levy, Inland Manatee, Inland Pasco,
Inland Sarasota, Polk, and Sumter

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando, Coastal
Hillsborough, Coastal Lee, Coastal Levy, Coastal Manatee,
Coastal Pasco, Coastal Sarasota, Inland Lee, and Pinellas
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands,
Inland Charlotte, Inland Citrus, Inland Hernando, Inland
Hillsborough, Inland Levy, Inland Manatee, Inland Pasco, Inland
Sarasota, Polk, and Sumter

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 720 miles west-southwest of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL
- 22.1N 92.6W
- Storm Intensity 100 mph
- Movement East-southeast or 105 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Milton is centered in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. It
is forecasted to strengthen today and Tuesday as it moves east-
northeast through the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Widespread impacts are
expected across West-Central and Southwest Florida beginning
Wednesday.

* Storm Surge - Life threatening storm surge is expected Wednesday
into Thursday. Potential peak surge amounts are 8 to 12 feet from the
Anclote River to Englewood, 5 to 10 feet from Englewood to Bonita
Beach to the south, and the Anclote River to Yankeetown to the north,
and 3 to 5 feet from Yankeetown to the Suwannee River.

* Rain - Flooding rain threat will run from Wednesday through Thursday
with rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches with locally higher amounts up
to 12 to 15 inches possible.

* Wind - Hurricane and tropical storm force winds will be possible
beginning on Wednesday with the highest probabilities along the coast.

* Tornadoes - Isolated tornadoes are possible Wednesday into Thursday
across the area.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible devastating impacts
across the Nature Coast, West-Central Florida, and Southwest Florida.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly
accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to
buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded
from considerable floating debris. Locations may be
uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become
stressed.
- Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
- Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted
onshore and stranded.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts
across the Nature Coast, West-Central Florida, and Southwest Florida.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Widespread power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for life-threatening wind having possible significant
to extensive impacts across the Nature Coast, West-Central Florida, and
Southwest Florida.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Nature Coast, West-Central Florida, and
Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast, West-Central Florida, and Southwest
Florida.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and boats pulled
from moorings.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to safe
shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

This notification was posted by Yankeetown. Yankeetown is solely responsible for this notification and unless specifically indicated, no other community or individual utilizing Savvy Citizen is sponsoring, responsible for, or endorsing this notification.

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